Drew Bailey is a developmental psychologist by training. His research focuses on the processes underlying the longitudinal stability of individual differences in children’s mathematical achievement and on the medium- and long-term effects of educational interventions. His current work attempts to use psychological theories and methods to build models to improve the accuracy of predictions about the medium- and long-term effects of educational interventions. The goal is to understand why educational interventions often produce effects that diminish after the end of the intervention and to identify combinations of interventions and populations likely to generate the most persistent effects.
What have I achieved during my fellowship?
My Jacobs Fellowship allowed me to pursue a program of research focused on attempting to identify which kinds of statistical models can be used to make useful predictions about the effects of educational interventions in the absence of experimental data. During this time, I have learned so much! My colleagues and I have developed some tools for making better predictions, tested the usefulness of different design and analytic approaches for doing so, and made some predictions ourselves. We have also begun to collect forecasts from educational researchers with the hope that such forecasts will be useful for the complementary goals of refining theories of how educational programs affect children’s educational outcomes in the longer-term and identifying the most promising programs and policies more efficiently. The Jacobs Fellowship took me all over the world and introduced me to so many new ideas, for which I am most thankful.
My plans for the future
In addition to ongoing work forecasting the effects of educational interventions, I am interested in helping design and evaluate educational interventions. I am also interested in promoting changes to the bodies funding educational research to better incentivize the development of interventions more intentionally designed raise children’s well-being in the longer term.